If consumers are willing to spend $5 for a cup of coffee, how about
paying $25 for a light bulb? An LED version of the 60-watt bulb just
broke $13.
“They’re getting to a point where more people are willing to splurge,” he said.
Thanks
to subsidies from utilities, improved quality and lower manufacturing
costs, sales are expected to rise significantly this year, Connors said.
Part of the shift is by default. Since last year, incandescent bulbs are being phased out.
The 75-watt and 100-watt bulbs are no longer being manufactured, and the 40- and 60-watters will be eliminated next year.
Although
retailers can still sell the bulbs if they have supplies, most
retailers are now stocking halogens, compact fluorescents and LEDs, with
only a few incandescent choices.
Although some might say LEDs
are selling for lack of a better option, Connors thinks demand for LED
will double this year for a different reason: the availability of
cheaper, better bulbs.
Early adopters who were initially
disappointed can now find mercury-free bulbs that do what incandescents
do well: reach maximum brightness immediately and have the capability to
be used with dimmers, motion detectors and enclosed fixtures.
Although
today’s prices are a big plunge from $70 for a bulb in 2009, they still
seem exorbitant for people used to paying 50 cents for an incandescent.
But a 60-watt LED bulb that costs $13 pays for itself in about two
years.
Assuming use of three hours a day, an incandescent burns
about $7 in electricity per year, an LED $1 per year, said Mike Watson,
vice president of marketing at Cree Inc., an LED manufacturer in North
Carolina.
People used to choosing by wattage alone now have to
look at lumens for brightness and kelvins for color. Consumers have to
read labels now, said Kim Sherman, senior product portfolio manager at
Xcel Energy.
The lack of consistency in size or shape makes it
difficult for consumers to easily pick out the bulb they want. Besides
400 or 800 lumens and 2,700 or 4,000 kelvins, they have to read the
label for a bulb’s ability to be dimmed or used in an enclosed fixture.
Consumers
who want to replicate the features from an incandescent or halogen with
an LED bulb often need assistance, Connors said. Dimmability is a big
issue.
Most high-quality LEDs will dim without problems, but some
bulbs work best with certain brands of dimmers. “The consumer’s best
bet is to keep the packaging and the receipt, test it and return it if
it doesn’t meet expectations,” Connors said.
Even an LED’s size
and shape can cause problems. Many of the original recessed LED
spotlights and floodlights didn’t fit existing openings. Cree changed
the shape of its new A19 bulb to the classic incandescent.
Some
are avoiding LEDs because of bad experiences with compact fluorescents,
or CFLs. Manufacturers got it right this time, Connors said. LED bulbs
are rugged compared with incandescents and CFLs.
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